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As
the role of a man-portable anti-armor weapon continues to morph
from a dedicated anti-tank weapon to a general-purpose fire
support asset for light and medium forces, the international
market for man-portable anti-armor and bunker buster weapons
remains robust. In its annual analysis, "The World Market for
Man-Portable Anti-Armor and Bunker Buster Weapons," the Forecast
International Weapons Group expects the market will produce nearly
1.9 million weapons, worth $5.33 billion, through 2014.
Dean Lockwood, a weapons systems analyst at Forecast
International, notes the Russian RPG (Ruchnoy
Protivotankoviy Granatomet) line of weapons continues to dominate
this market. Under the auspices of the Rosoboronexport
organization, the combined output of Russian defense contractors
will account for over 68 percent of man-portable anti-armor and
bunker buster weapon production, worth over 51 percent of the
total market value, through 2014. The most significant production
will involve the Russian RPG-26 and RPG-27. According to Lockwood,
"Combined production of these two weapons will account for over 54
percent of all new production, worth over 31 percent of the total
market value, through 2014." Nevertheless, the ubiquitous RPG-7
remains the man-portable anti-armor weapon of choice worldwide.
Through 2014, the RPG-7 (and the follow-on RPG-16) – as well as
various licensed and unlicensed copies – will account for nearly 8
percent of all new production, worth 5.63 percent of the total
market value.
Despite the domination of the Russian RPG line, plenty of
opportunities exist in this evolving market. According to
Lockwood, "The combined output of the leading European players
will provide only 13.96 percent of all man-portable anti-armor and
bunker buster weapons production. However, these high-end European
products will account for over 33 percent of the total market
value through 2014." Talley Defense Systems, the sole U.S. player
to have any discernable impact on this market, will account for
5.14 percent of all production, worth 5.26 percent of the total
market value, through 2014. Lockwood also notes that, unlike many
other defense markets, the People’s Republic of China has
virtually no impact on the international market for man-portable
anti-armor and bunker buster weapons. The Chinese State Arsenals
system, under the auspices of the China North Industries
Corporation (NORINCO), will contribute less than 1 percent of
total production and market value with its Type 69 line.
Despite the uncertainties of a post-Cold War world and the glut of
available weapons, the international market for man‑portable
anti-armor and bunker buster weapons remains a vibrant, dynamic
environment. Evolving threat scenarios and force structures are
creating a whole new field of opportunity, as the man-portable
anti-armor weapon evolves into a general-purpose fire support
asset for light and medium forces in the age of asymmetrical
warfare.
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